Rookie QBs are notorious for low touchdown rates, but this is an extreme outlier. Freiermuth's breakout in 2022 was masked by the fact that Kenny Pickett had a 1.8% touchdown rate. Freiermuth was second last year, with 14 more targets than George Pickens in one fewer game. When looking for a breakout tight end, you should look for a guy who could be first or second on his team in targets. Pat Freiermuth finishes the year as TE3 with 900 yards receiving and seven TDs Top 10 might be lofty, but I feel great about him outperforming his average draft position. I don't see a reason why Brown won't be a target hog for the Cardinals. Murray could be back sooner than we expect. This season he won't have Hopkins to contend with, and there is an encouraging track record of quarterbacks recovering quickly from ACL tears. In the first six games of the season, Brown was a top-10 WR while Kyler Murray was healthy and DeAndre Hopkins was suspended. He already did this in 2022! Well, sorta. Marquise Brown will be a top-10 wide receiver New coach, better offense, breakout season for Jeudy. Oh, and the Broncos scored the fewest points in the NFL. That's better than what Jaylen Waddle and DeVonta Smith averaged! He also got better late in the season as Russell Wilson went away from Courtland Sutton and focused on Jeudy. In his 12 healthy games, Jeudy averaged nearly 16 PPR points per game. Jeudy had a quiet breakout in 2022, which is hidden by the three games he left early with injuries (he caught just five passes in those three games). Jerry Jeudy will be a top-five wide receiver Gibbs will have more carries and similar Fantasy production. Alvin Kamara was a top-five RB as a rookie with 120 carries and 81 catches. Look for the Lions to get Gibbs involved in the passing game, and look for his talent to lead to more and more work as the season progresses. In fact, Gibbs will be the most explosive player on the team (at least until Jameson Williams returns from suspension). Quite simply, Gibbs will be a better, more efficient and more explosive player than David Montgomery. Jahmyr Gibbs will be a top-five running back But, if these predictions do come true, they could be the difference between winning a championship and being an also-ran. These won't all come true - we might be lucky to bat. Not about the likeliest outcome, but our best guesses about the players or teams that are going to have an outsized influence on the outcome of the Fantasy Football season. That's what this piece is about, specifically. You need to identify those early-round landmines and let them sink other players' Fantasy seasons, while you find the breakout stars and surprise starters who will put your team over the top. You need to identify outliers to beat the competition and take home the trophy at the end of the season. Our goal is to give you our best predictions about what is most likely to happen in the forthcoming NFL season.īut winning in Fantasy Football isn't just about identifying the most likely outcome for every player.
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